An interesting perspective. Where is the Red Line? And now we have an agreement with Iran, the country that aids President Assad. All this while some brave Syrians fight on for reform without Assad.
One little boy in a red T-shirt,
lying face down, drowned, on a Turkish beach, is a tragedy. More than
200,000 dead in Syria, 4 million fleeing refugees and 7.6 million
displaced from their homes are statistics. But they represent a
collective failure of massive proportions.
For four years, the
Obama administration has engaged in what Frederic Hof, former special
adviser for transition in Syria, calls a "pantomime of outrage."
Four
years of strongly worded protests and urgent meetings and calls for
negotiation — the whole drama a sickening substitute for useful action.
People talking to drown out the voice of their own conscience. And
blaming.
In 2013, President Obama lectured the United Nations
Security Council for having "demonstrated no inclination to act at all."
Psychological projection on a global stage.
Always there is Obama's weary realism. "It's
not the job of the president of the United States to solve every
problem in the Middle East." We must be "modest in our belief that we
can remedy every evil." But we are not dealing here with every
problem or every evil; rather a unique set of circumstances: The largest
humanitarian failure of the Obama era is also its largest strategic
failure.
At some point, being "modest" becomes the same thing as
being inured to atrocities. President Bashar Assad's helicopters
continue to drop barrel bombs filled with shrapnel and chlorine. In
recent attacks on the town of Marea, Islamic State forces have used
skin-blistering mustard gas and deployed, over a few days, perhaps 50
suicide bombers. We have seen starvation sieges and kidnappings and
beheadings and more than 10,000 dead children.
German Chancellor
Angela Merkel has changed her country's asylum rules to welcome every
Syrian refugee who arrives. Syrians have taken to calling her "Mama
Merkel, Mother of the Outcasts." I wonder what they call America's
president.
At many points in the last four years, even relatively
small actions might have reduced the pace of civilian casualties in
Syria. How hard would it have been to destroy the helicopters dropping
barrel bombs on neighborhoods?
A number of options short of
intervention might have reduced the regime's destructive power and/or
strengthened the capabilities of more responsible forces. All were
untaken.
This was not some humanitarian problem distant from the
center of U.S. interests. It was a crisis at the heart of the Mideast
that produced a vacuum of sovereignty that has attracted and empowered
some of the worst people in the world.
Inaction was a conscious,
determined choice on the part of the Obama White House. Secretary of
State Hillary Clinton, Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta and CIA
Director David Petraeus advocated arming favorable proxies. Sunni
friends and allies in the region asked, then begged, for U.S.
leadership.
All were overruled or ignored.
In the process,
Syria has become the graveyard of American credibility. The chemical
weapons "red line." "The tide of war is receding." "We don't do stupid
(stuff)." These are global punch lines.
"The analogy we use
around here sometimes," said Obama of the Islamic State, "and I think is
accurate, is if a JV team puts on Lakers uniforms, that doesn't make
them Kobe Bryant."
Now the goal to "degrade and destroy" the
Islamic State looks unachievable with current strategy and resources.
"The time has come for President Assad to step aside," said Obama in
2011. Yet Assad will likely outlast him in power.
What explains Obama's high tolerance for humiliation and mass atrocities in Syria?
The
Syrian regime is Iran's proxy, propped up by billions of dollars each
year. And Obama wanted nothing to interfere with a nuclear deal with
Iran. He was, as Hof has said, "reluctant to offend the Iranians at this
critical juncture." So the effective concession of Syria as an
Iranian zone of influence is just one more cost of the president's
legacy nuclear agreement.
Never mind Iran will now have tens of
billions of unfrozen assets to strengthen Assad's struggling military.
And never mind Assad's atrocities are one of the main recruiting tools
for the Islamic State and other Sunni radicals. All of which is
likely to extend a war that no one can win, that has incubated regional
and global threats, and that has thrown a small body in a red T-shirt
against a distant shore
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