Andrew Malcolm
Political News & Commentary Poll Shockers: Trump slumps nationally, Bernie blows past Hillary in N.H.
Political News & Commentary Poll Shockers: Trump slumps nationally, Bernie blows past Hillary in N.H.
That Fiorina gives me headaches. (Albert H. Teich/ Shutterstock.com)
Socialist Bernie Sanders has surged past presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire.
Donald Trump has lost one-third of his national support since a lackluster debate performance last week and ensuing spats and pouts with Fox News.
And Carly Fiorina, whose one percent standing relegated her to the secondary Republican debate six days ago, experienced an explosion of support after an impressive national debut in that forum. She's now tied in the No. 3 spot among Republican candidates.
The only woman in the GOP field, Fiorina saw her support jump to nine percent, tied with Scott Walker, who fell from 14% in the late July Rasmussen Reports survey. The only ones ahead of her now are Jeb Bush, who held steady at 10% among the 651 likely Republican primary voters, and Marco Rubio, now also at 10%, up from his previous 5% support.
Trump still leads the field with 17%, but that's down sharply from his commanding 26% lead less than two weeks ago.
Campaigning in Michigan Tuesday, the billionaire analyzed his campaign: “The people that we’re dealing with and whatever’s happened -- it is what it is. You just look at the results.”
The Rasmussen numbers showed Ted Cruz holding steady at 7%, two spots behind Fiorina and one behind Dr. Ben Carson, who jumped from 5% to 8% support. Rand Paul's numbers edged up from 3% to 4% and Chis Christie's doubled from two percent to 4%. Lindsey Graham remained at one percent. Jim Gilmore, not a candidate in July, registered one percent this time.
Rick Perry's standing slipped from two percent to one percent, according to Rasmussen.
Others who slid in the national Republican field were Mike Huckabee (7% to 3%), John Kasich (5% to 4%) and Rick Santorum and Bobby Jindal, both from two percent to one percent. George Pataki went from one percent to zero.
Inexplicably, the number of undecideds increased 7% to 11% post-debates.
State polls had shown the little-known Fiorina's standing improving in recent weeks. Critical for her now is translating improved poll numbers into productive fundraising, which has lagged.
Fundraising is no problem for Clinton. However, unfolding scandals, prolonged by her own delays complying with investigators' requests, are. And so is socialist Sanders, six years her senior at 73.
New Hampshire voters gave Clinton a badly-needed win in 2008 after her embarrassing third-place finish in Iowa. But they are traditionally ornery toward front-runners and Sanders, who represents next-door Vermont, is familiar there.
The new numbers from the Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll of 442 likely Democrat primary voters, give Sanders a 44-37 lead over Clinton. It's the first time Clinton has trailed and a dramatic change since the same poll in March had Clinton up 44 to 8.
Numbers show a majority of Democrats expect Clinton to be their nominee, but only 35% are "excited" about it. Nine percent favored Joe Biden as nominee. Democrat debates do not begin until October.
The next GOP debates come at the Reagan Presidential Library Sept. 16 on CNN with Jake Tapper and Hugh Hewitt hosting.
The format is similar, but not identical, to last week's Fox News' pair of debates. The 'main event' will have the 10 highest-ranking candidates, according to the average of all “recognized" polls between July 16 and Sept. 10 with a minimum one percent required. Both Reagan debates are likely to be broadcast in prime-time.
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